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> We’re still in the super early days. Like where microcomputers were 40-50 years ago There's a trap in that sort of thinking. It assumes that it's inevitable
by delusional 3y ago
> We’re still in the super early days. Like where microcomputers were 40-50 years ago
There's a trap in that sort of thinking. It assumes that it's inevitable that we will at some point arrive at current day for quantum computers. That technology is a straight path in whatever direction we set out. I don't think that is a given. There a plenty of things out there that physics just can't do. Things that, no matter how much effort and thought and research we put into it, we just can't make the world do in a scalable affordable fashion. I don't have the knowledge to make a believable claim that quantum computers are one of those, but you have to consider that it might be.
It's possible that quantum computers aren't at the stage of the 8086, but rather at the stage of the flying cars in jetsons. Doomed to forever be an unrealistic dream.
- bena 3y agoYou're right, it is not a given. Progress only looks like a straight shot in hindsight. Yes, we can take any invention today and trace every step back to the previous to make a single unbroken chain to the invention of the wheel. But for every airplane, there's a Bored Ape Yacht Club NFT.