3 ms·
and yet, in practice, it doesn't matter that much (most of the time) models just have to useful, they don't have to be correct
by smabie 3y ago
and yet, in practice, it doesn't matter that much (most of the time)
models just have to useful, they don't have to be correct
- Beijinger 3y ago"and yet, in practice, it doesn't matter that much (most of the time)" It does not matter? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-Term_Capital_Management https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-Term_Capital_Management Options far out of the market are underpriced. Mandelbrot, investing on the stockmarket is riskier than you think. But then, the opposite must also be true. It can be more lucrative than expected. I currently hold some far out of the money options. Unfortunately, the underlying stock goes against me :-(
- luca3v 3y agoYou can see that the market deviates from the model and accounts for the fact that the Brownian motion model of Black-Scholes underestimates the probability of big moves: typically, options for the same security and the same expiration date have different IV, with options ATM having a lower IV and options deep ITM or deem OTM having larger IV. If the market believed in the model, options for the same security and the same expiration date would all have the same IV, which would be whatever volatility the market thinks the security is going to have.
- smabie 3y agoYou can just input diff IVs for BS for diff strikes, you don't have to actually ditch BS. After all vol is the free parameter for BS That being said, not an expert on non-d1 products so I could be wrong about how this is dealt with in practice