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The question of the mix is interesting, and probably more complex than it looks as we might have to take the "electrification" of industries, transportation, he
by llsf 3y ago
The question of the mix is interesting, and probably more complex than it looks as we might have to take the "electrification" of industries, transportation, heating, etc. over time into consideration.
If EV become more popular, if trucks and trains start to use more electricity, if heat-pumps become more popular, etc. the demand for electricity would grow over what the country is currently using. So new capacity would be needed, and electricity would be even more critical and would require to be more reliable than ever before.
That is why nuclear has a part to play to make the grid stable and reliable, on top of renewable deployment.
- kelseyfrog 3y agoAbsolutely, designing a mix for today's demand is guaranteed failure. Designing a mix for a target date with predicted demand characteristics actually has a shot at working. We can make quantified statements about distribution estimates for demand that includes quantified variability and create a mix target that meets our tolerance for risk, cost, and sustainability. I frankly think that armchair debate over solar vs nuclear - which is 99% of these discussions - has exactly zero probability at arriving at an optimal mix. Pigeon, chessboard, &c.
- llsf 3y agoI agree this is armchair debate. The article is made by a business journalist on an Australian report, with a catchy title. It is a complex subject.