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Tech companies are the new modern day conglomerates. Most of us weren't adults in the 70s when conglomerates ruled the business world and then in the 80s when
by chollida1 3y ago
Tech companies are the new modern day conglomerates.
Most of us weren't adults in the 70s when conglomerates ruled the business world and then in the 80s when hedge funds made bank buying them and splitting them up into smaller companies.
Goldman put out a piece about how Microsoft, Google, etc are the new conglomerates that are ready to be broken up. The moat they have now is their insane piles of cash, their profitability, and their huge market caps, which make them very hard to target or to force them to spin out businesses.
Once they start to lag, and it inevitably will happen, they'll start to have more pressure on them to break up into several companies.
Microsoft, Google and Apple all have 3-4 $10+ Billion dollar in annual revenue companies inside of them.
Goldman's thesis is that one of Google, Microsoft, Apple and Amazon won't exist within 10-15 years and its not hard to see a world where that's true.
It could be one of them being acquired(least likely IMHO), one splitting into multiple companies to unlock business protentional(most likely IMHO), or one being forced to divest by a government(probably the EU)
- erickj 3y ago(my own uniformed opinions ahead) Google and Facebook have already prepared themselves for this break up by restructuring into holding companies. If/when anti trust legislation ever mandates breaking off search, advertising, YouTube, or Android from "Google", well guess what... Alphabet is already structurally prepared to continue to own the company just the same as it owns Waymo, Verily, Fitbit, Doubleclick, Nest, and Google A new company is nothing more than paperwork at this point.
- majani 3y agoI can see the case for Apple and Amazon going away, but Google and Microsoft are just so fundamentally strong that they should last 100 years. Turning bits into money is the highest margin business out there, and owning an OS is the most lucrative position within the software world.