There are different ways of looking at it. 1. Each hurricane is an independent event. Florida expects 5 hurricanes per year on average. There were 0 hurricanes

There are different ways of looking at it. 1. Each hurricane is an independent event. Florida expects 5 hurricanes per year on average. There were 0 hurricanes this year, so by definition we can expect more hurricanes next year (because 5 > 0). However, the fact that there were zero hurricanes this year doesn't influence next year's season in any way. The statement is just trivially true. 2. Hurricanes are not independent of each other, but rather get stronger the longer you go without one. So if there were none this year then you will likely bear the brunt of it next season. I know this is a thing for earthquakes and other tectonic activity, but not sure if hurricanes work the same way.