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I think parent comment meant that progress has accelerated to such a degree that the same amount of innovation will have happened between now and 2029 as happen
by sakras 3y ago
I think parent comment meant that progress has accelerated to such a degree that the same amount of innovation will have happened between now and 2029 as happened between 2003 and now.
- bruce511 3y agoI agree with that interpretation. I disagree with the parent comment. I don't think they appreciate the scope of change over the last 20 years. From mobile, tablet and headset interfaces, to social media, to infrastructure (ADSL never mind fibre), WiFi, cell tech. Voice assistants, chatgpt, I could go on. Crumbs, the Web didn't even have ajax back then. We're not even close to duplicating that scale of change over the next 5 years.
- blackoil 3y agoFuture is difficult to predict, but in past take last 20 years and 20 years before that and so on. It feels like rate of change is accelerating by factor of 4 or more.
- fuzzfactor 3y ago>Rite Aid banned from using AI facial recognition for five years First mover disadvantage. By then everyone else will have been using it for a while.