3 ms·
The charts show wages plummeting if "AGI" becomes real in 5 or 20 years while "output" skyrockets. But I'm very curious what economic "output" the AGI will be p
by skywhopper 3y ago
The charts show wages plummeting if "AGI" becomes real in 5 or 20 years while "output" skyrockets. But I'm very curious what economic "output" the AGI will be producing that is so valuable in a world where no one has a job. All that economic output needs a consumer. But who's consuming a
Ultimately, this analysis is incredibly shallow. There's no indication the author has thought very hard about what types of tasks are even feasible for "AI" to do. Will AI repair leaky plumbing? Will it start new businesses? Can it pump my gas? Can it teach ballet to children?
It's easy to forget all the parts of a job that go along with the core part of the job. Could AI deliver packages? Well, it's questionable that AI can successfully drive on city streets at scale, but if AI can drive the delivery van to my house, can it load the boxes into the delivery van? Can it bring the package to my door? Can it handle a mechanical failure or a flat tire? Can it refill its own fuel? How will it handle it when packages are stolen from it prior to delivery? Call the AI cops?
And to what end? Who's even deciding to make and sell products? Does the AI decide on its own to operate a business? Why would it? How would AI direct its attention and activity appropriately? Where would AI get the resources to do this? Why would it even try?