I do think it's very weird that the upper bound is presented with confidence, but the lower bound is not, yes. I also think that it's weird because the one-thi

I do think it's very weird that the upper bound is presented with confidence, but the lower bound is not, yes. I also think that it's weird because the one-third figure itself appears to have materialized from nothing but hype and wishful thinking, so why is it an upper bound? No singularity required -- even just human-level AGI would clearly be more than a one-third GDP impact.