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The concern is not about GPT-4. It's about what 10 years of research gets you to when, five years ago, it seemed completely apparent that even GPT-4 was 50 year
by mitthrowaway2 3y ago
The concern is not about GPT-4. It's about what 10 years of research gets you to when, five years ago, it seemed completely apparent that even GPT-4 was 50 years off.
- xcode42 3y agoAi is having explosive growth and the hype around it and research is definitely at a high. You could say we are in a "bullish market" when it comes to AI R&D ;). Assuming that this persists for 10 more years or even beyond that seems like a bad bet but I guess we'll see.
- tpm 3y agoGPT-1 was 5 years ago, GPT-2 was 4 years ago and by that time it was quite clear to some that this will scale soon. But I'm not talking about the GPT-4 either. Many decades and billions poured into research still didn't give us autonomous driving and there is no clear path how that should happen. So I'm not really holding my breath for anything even more capable.