The major mistake - some people have been getting this right - is looking at algorithms rather than processing power. The people who were just following the exp

The major mistake - some people have been getting this right - is looking at algorithms rather than processing power. The people who were just following the exponential curves [0] pointed out that we'd be hitting human-brain levels of processing power some time around now. Turns out intelligence isn't complicated; it just needs a lot of brute force matrix math. This blog post can be interpreted as "I didn't realise what it was like living through an exponential process". Things happen very quickly. [0] https://spectrum.ieee.org/estimate-human-brain-30-times-faster-than-best-supercomputers https://spectrum.ieee.org/estimate-human-brain-30-times-fast...