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No, engineers and software developers tend to be overly optimistic about the ability and speed to do things, and it’s integral to the task of building cool shit
by aksss 3y ago
No, engineers and software developers tend to be overly optimistic about the ability and speed to do things, and it’s integral to the task of building cool shit. It’s simply not lying. It may look that way to those on the outside, and you can say it’s irresponsible not to recalibrate, but even the adjusted estimates are optimistically recalibrated. The estimating well is poisoned by vision. Lying is something very different.
- Powdering7082 3y ago1) It's not just engineers and software developers https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planning_fallacy#Empirical_evidence https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planning_fallacy#Empirical_evi... 2) Musk is particularly bad about it & does it in places that directly financially benefit him. Telling people that if they fork out 15k now they'll have full self driving in X timeline, completely missing it and then doing the exact same thing for years on end seems less like the planning fallacy and more like fraud, but I guess we can just wait to see what the courts decide on the matter
- Wytwwww 3y ago> No, engineers and software developers tend to be overly optimistic about the ability and speed to do He's not one though. He's a business executive, so someone who in theory who would have the job to reconcile those lofty dreams with reality. However, I'd bet quite a bit that the actual engineers and software developers were that optimistic and certainly didn't believe they could achieve FSD in 6 months (they'd be horrible incompetent engineers if they actually believed that).