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Are you effectively using something akin to a multiverse scenario to guarantee that one outcome is inevitable? By multiverse here I'm mainly pointing to the ide
by _heimdall 3y ago
Are you effectively using something akin to a multiverse scenario to guarantee that one outcome is inevitable? By multiverse here I'm mainly pointing to the idea of branching of all possible outcomes, not strictly trying to say that the idea I'd about jumping to an actual different universe.
If you could go back 10 years and erase all ML research, for example, there would be fundamental differences. The number of people that understand how those systems would be much smaller. Hardware would be different, for example we wouldn't have tensor chips and GPUs would still be primarily for playing Call of Duty. Cell phones, search, even more benign systems like traffic control on city streets would look different. There's simply way too much changed even with that one jump to possibly guarantee that we'd find ourselves in the same boat inventing AI or AGI on roughly the same timeline.