4 ms·

I think the "he's truthful" case is the most damning because it calls his expertise in any of these fields into question. Looks an awful lot like Dunning Kruger

I think the "he's truthful" case is the most damning because it calls his expertise in any of these fields into question. Looks an awful lot like Dunning Kruger.

mensetmanusman 3y ago
He has said he is overly optimistic and believes he is truthful, and that if he didn't none of these companies would exist. Outlier leaders are usually outliers in mindset.
- ChatGTP 3y ago
  But when I am optimistic but I rarely am outwardly optimistic because I know it’s lying if I am. I think he knows that when he lies, many people take him seriously because his companies are sometimes right. Which pumps his valuation.
hnbad 3y ago
He has demonstrably lied about his education, lies about his family background and keeps getting caught making statements that sound plausible if you know a little about the field but nonsensical if you are an actual domain expert (e.g. nearly everything he said about software development re Twitter). I think he's a good generalist because he (like many autistics) finds it easy to drill into domains he finds interesting and keep up with discussions at a fairly advanced level but when you do that it's important to be aware that having binged expert sources on a subject for a month straight doesn't make you an expert in the field the same way a conversational crash course over a weekend doesn't make you a fluent speaker in a new language even if you know how to order a pizza and get a general idea of what people say to you. I've actually experienced this misattribution of expertise myself: just because I've read several Wikipedia articles and binged some video essays on a given subject I've had people assume I'm an expert when I tell them about it - except I know that my "expertise" would collapse as soon as I were to talk to an actual expert. I think this is why a lot of people suffer from imposter syndrome: because they're literally faking it by having a good generalist knowledge without realising most people in the field also lack sophisticated underpinnings.

I think the "he's truthful" case is the most damning because it calls his expertise in any of these fields into question. Looks an awful lot like Dunning Kruger.

mensetmanusman 3y ago

He has said he is overly optimistic and believes he is truthful, and that if he didn't none of these companies would exist. Outlier leaders are usually outliers in mindset.

ChatGTP 3y ago
But when I am optimistic but I rarely am outwardly optimistic because I know it’s lying if I am. I think he knows that when he lies, many people take him seriously because his companies are sometimes right. Which pumps his valuation.

hnbad 3y ago

He has demonstrably lied about his education, lies about his family background and keeps getting caught making statements that sound plausible if you know a little about the field but nonsensical if you are an actual domain expert (e.g. nearly everything he said about software development re Twitter). I think he's a good generalist because he (like many autistics) finds it easy to drill into domains he finds interesting and keep up with discussions at a fairly advanced level but when you do that it's important to be aware that having binged expert sources on a subject for a month straight doesn't make you an expert in the field the same way a conversational crash course over a weekend doesn't make you a fluent speaker in a new language even if you know how to order a pizza and get a general idea of what people say to you. I've actually experienced this misattribution of expertise myself: just because I've read several Wikipedia articles and binged some video essays on a given subject I've had people assume I'm an expert when I tell them about it - except I know that my "expertise" would collapse as soon as I were to talk to an actual expert. I think this is why a lot of people suffer from imposter syndrome: because they're literally faking it by having a good generalist knowledge without realising most people in the field also lack sophisticated underpinnings.