IMHO that's both correct, but also subtly the wrong way to think about the singularity. Yes, there's an ever faster pace of change, but that pace of change for

IMHO that's both correct, but also subtly the wrong way to think about the singularity. Yes, there's an ever faster pace of change, but that pace of change for the general human population is limited precisely because of the factors you laid out: people can't keep up. William Gibson said: "The future is already here – it's just not very evenly distributed." That's what has been happening for millennia, and will be ever more obvious as the pace of progress accelerates: sure, someone, somewhere will have developed incomprehensible ultra-advanced technology, but it won't spread precisely because the general population can't comprehend/adopt/adapt it fast enough![1] Exceptions exist, of course. My take on the whole thing is that the "runaway singularity" won't happen globally, it'll happen very locally. Some AI supercomputer cluster will figure out "everything", have access to a nano-fabrication device, build itself a new substrate, transfer, repeat, and then zip off to silicon nirvana in a matter of hours... ... leaving us behind, just like we've left the primitive uncontacted tribes in the Amazon behind. They don't know or care about the latest ChatGPT features, iPhone computational photography, or Tesla robotics. They're stuck where they are precisely because they too far removed and so can't keep up. [1] Here's my equivalent example to your iPhone example: 4K HDR videos. I can create these, but I can't send them to any of my relatives that would like to see them, because nobody has purchased HDR TVs yet, and they're also all using pre-HDR mobile phones. Display panel tech has been advancing fantastically fast, but adoption isn't.