4 ms·
That's a little bit like the football-betting-sequence fallacy -- if I send a thousand letters out, with 50% predicting team A wins and 50% predicting team B wi
by wcarss 3y ago
That's a little bit like the football-betting-sequence fallacy -- if I send a thousand letters out, with 50% predicting team A wins and 50% predicting team B wins, and do so successively for 10 weeks, at the end of the 10 weeks a small number of people will have gotten my letters "correctly predicting" the football outcome 10 times in a row. But of course, I didn't know anything about the games.
You can name a few of the richest people ever to do drugs who haven't died -- but how many have? And how many people without resources to pull them back from consequences of an overdose have died versus have used long-term and lived?
(For the record, I think I'm not really on the other side of the larger argument here, but I don't think your argument here is a convincing one.)
- kazinator 3y ago> but how many have Oh, plenty!
- tayo42 3y agoQuick Google says that 20 to 30% of people that try the drug get addicted. So most won't. The worst cases probably just stick out.
- wcarss 3y agoI may be wrong, but I thought we were discussing how many regularly-heroin-using people die early, not how many people try heroin once and subsequently become addicted.
- tayo42 3y agoOh I interpreted the thread to be talking about heroine use in general. Could go either way I guess, there's a lot of comments at this point. Though ime most users don't die. Which is why I support legalization. What I watched happened with my drug phase and others, it was mostly a phase and people just needed time, support and patience to get through to other side. There might be extreme examples ruining it for all, but I saw a lot of people stop after some serious use. Unfortunately some die because of the policy we have like a few people I knew personally. All uncessarry.