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I'm familiar with Bayesian statistics but never learned the theorem, that I remember. Is this really basic probability taught in most grade schools?
by darkerside 3y ago
I'm familiar with Bayesian statistics but never learned the theorem, that I remember. Is this really basic probability taught in most grade schools?
- Jensson 3y agoYou learn about conditional probabilities and how to calculate around those. They teach Bayes theorem but doesn't use that name or the formula, since the formula is too hard for kids to read, but you are given the intuitive explanation for how conditional events are related to each other and you write those out in event trees where it is easy to see. I clearly remember getting taught the exact equivalent to Bayes theorem in middle school, they just didn't call it that. If anyone who learned that sees Bayes theorem later it is intuitively obvious, so there is really no need to bring it up, and there is no reason to take a course to understand Bayes theorem later as an adult. Those things are easy thanks to what you learned in middle school.
- darkerside 3y agoWent to school in the US and don't recall getting exposed to this, and it's actually not that intuitive for me