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The majority of people will assume it's not true because as humans we bias towards optimism and lying to ourselves. We choose to artificially scaffold logic to
by corethree 3y ago
The majority of people will assume it's not true because as humans we bias towards optimism and lying to ourselves. We choose to artificially scaffold logic to fit our positive bias and you're going to see a lot of arguments in this thread attempting to refute this study. Most of those comments will be of that nature: composing different facts and figures and evidence in a specific way to fit their own desired outcome.
Studies prove that the majority of people are like this and I'm one of them.
Therefore I'm going to what everyone else does and that is work and drive to work, spend time with my family, spend time with my friends and not do anything different everyday. I guess being self aware of my own biases makes me slightly different, but in this case people who are self aware probably just choose to avoid thinking about it. We got daily problems to deal with and the environment is still too abstract to consider even when there's a lot of evidence suggesting it's too late.
This is the reality of people. It's predictable. Even people on this thread "claiming" to do something about it likely aren't doing much or doing anything meaningful. What's written in this thread is rationalization to keep doing what they're currently doing.
Only a very small small small percentage of the population can actually be genuinely panicked by what the evidence suggests. They will be making drastic changes to their own lives and attempting to change the world. People who build and construct their lives around rationality are the ones we classify as extremist.
I'm not saying these "extremists" are smarter or have higher IQ. It's more of a behavioral trait among a small portion of the population. They lack the normal biases people have, and I think this may have a small association with lower IQ as some of them are unable to weigh the rational logic against the consequences of going against the grain of popular opinion/behavior.
- sva_ 3y ago> as humans we bias towards optimism and lying to ourselves I'm not convinced that the optimists are the vast majority among humans. It seems more like pessimists never get anything done, due to their outlook on the world (survivorship bias.) Although in this case, you'd think the pessimists would be the ones to take action. Perhaps the real optimists in this case would be those who believe that in spite of these processes being in place, they can do something about it.
- _ddzr 3y agoI find the resistance to understanding these models so interesting. I talk to friend about this and few people are able to get over their initial optimism bias. Some of us who have familial experience with less ideal circumstances—war, poverty, genocide, and hyperinflation—do not hold the same biases.
- quickthrower2 3y agoI think people like me who think about things like how we got here i.e. evolution, the scale of the universe, how insignificant our planet is, let alone us (in terms of the scale of the universe) also lack optimism bias. What is gonna happen will happen. Surely COVID19 shook the "it wont happen to me" vibe out of everyone though? I mean, COVID19 happened to everyone on the planet. Whether they got sick they were effected and could see the danger of a pandemic. (Well anyone with a brain...)
- quickthrower2 3y agoI think it is also prisoner's dilemma. You can YOLO now, and see the world, and then doom, or you can sacrifice, live environmentally friendly, spend your weekends lobbying, and then doom. But if everyone did something!