5 ms·
hello, yes. why? everything in the world is bound to "trends", "hypes" or "fashions" ... and stuff tends to go out of fashion after a while of not fulfilling
by t312227 3y ago
hello,
yes.
why? everything in the world is bound to "trends", "hypes" or "fashions" ... and stuff tends to go out of fashion after a while of not fulfilling exaggerated expectations.
especially in IT - and especially AI ... we had that several times (!) since its inception in the 50ties of the last century :)
just look at its history: even neural networks are nothing new ... heavily simplified: they where with us after the logic-programming hype of the 70ties during the 80ties, displaced by fuzzy-logic around the turn of the decade to the 90ties. the logic-programming approach got reboiled by semantic-technologies in the zero-decade, replaced by machine-learning - applied statistics - and deep-learning - again neuronal networks - in the 10ths and up until now ... thanks to cheap computational resources - pumped up to billions of parameters etc.
don't get me wrong: great stuff, but less novel than some of us might think ;)
notice: i wrote nothing about when this will happen, but its more or less a tautology, that there will be such a downward development of the current trend sometimes in the future ... :)
idk ... maybe after people realize, that current pre-trained transformers/language models - as nice/useful/funny as they are - are not "(hard) AI" ... i think its now called "general AI" or AGI!?
cheersv