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You are underestimating how long things take in the car industry. 2030 is really, really soon. The majority of cars sold then will be existing models with mino
by panick21_ 3y ago
You are underestimating how long things take in the car industry. 2030 is really, really soon.
The majority of cars sold then will be existing models with minor updates.
And car companies only upgrade their major platforms every 5-7 years. Many companies are currently planning their second (or first real) EV platform.
But by 2030 even the waste number of EV will be on first generation EV platforms still.
Companies have 100s of million invested in their current body lines. So unless you build a totally new factory you are not gone adopt this technology.
When Toyota came out with their production system it took decades for all the practices to become established.
- hef19898 3y agoI'm more an aerospace guy, but I am fully aware of the time scale around production technology changes. Thing is so, 2030 is an estimate, not a commitment. And I didn't find anything about actual investments or announcememts from OEMs around that. Also, 20% of castings still means a lot of welding before a car body is made. One thing regarding Toyotas production system so: it is all about management and processes and not about the actual machinery. And it share a lot of principles ranging as far back as Venice's Arsenal in the 16/17th century and, especially, WW2 mass manifavturing of, e.g., planes. Anothet major difference: TPS is a proven methodology for longer than Tesla, let alone any production tech coming out of Tesla, exists as a company.