3 ms·
This is a good bet, because as a rule people overestimate progress in the short term, and underestimate it in the long term (and at the moment 5 years is at lea
by rkangel 3y ago
This is a good bet, because as a rule people overestimate progress in the short term, and underestimate it in the long term (and at the moment 5 years is at least medium term for LLMs!
https://quoteinvestigator.com/2019/01/03/estimate/ https://quoteinvestigator.com/2019/01/03/estimate/
- monkeydust 3y agoYea if Gartner did one good thing is the hype curve which supports this thinking also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gartner_hype_cycle https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gartner_hype_cycle