Thanks, this finally clarifies for me what the article was actually doing! And it's very different from what I expected, and it doesn't make a lot of sense to

Thanks, this finally clarifies for me what the article was actually doing! And it's very different from what I expected, and it doesn't make a lot of sense to me. I guess if statisticians already believe your model, then they want to see the error bars on the model. But I would expect if someone gives me a forecast with "error bars", those would relate to how accurate they think the forecast would be.