5 ms·
Short term: zero anxiety, I'm at top 5 (very optimistically) to 20% of software engineers and have good visible achievements, speaking, etc. Mid term: this is
by KptMarchewa 3y ago
Short term: zero anxiety, I'm at top 5 (very optimistically) to 20% of software engineers and have good visible achievements, speaking, etc.
Mid term: this is where I have the most difficulty predicting. AI might get good enough to put most devs in 5 to 8 years. I give that 20% of chance but it's not 0. In that case only thing I could realistically do is management (lol), work in construction or gastronomy.
Long term: I don't plan to work more than 15 years. In 10 years I should have good enough finances to retire, and work for few years more to solidify it. I don't care and don't plan for black swan events.
- htrp 3y agoAi can definitely put most middle management out of work too. Jira tickets, status updates, and meeting summaries are all going to be relatively low hanging fruit for lm apps.
- alanfranz 3y agoIf you think that’s all what a manager does, you had bad managers. People managers, I mean.
- bravetraveler 3y agoI think I'm still waiting on a single good 'people manager' I've had plenty I got along with, but not one that has ever made my job easier Best case, we all suffer together. Probable case: they build a promotion off my back Note: not the one who received the assertion, but it's true. Bad managers abound In fairness to them, there's only so much they can do in organizations that refuse to change where it 'counts'
- disambiguation 3y agoI think it's still not optimistic for managers. Think that management is mostly necessary to deal with difficult devs. A team of good devs doesn't really need a manager. And if AI replaces all the low tier devs, it follows the demand for management declines as well.