AI novel domain, no one knows what spirit of the law actually means with respect to AI other than some vague intentions of limiting PRC access to compute that c

AI novel domain, no one knows what spirit of the law actually means with respect to AI other than some vague intentions of limiting PRC access to compute that can do military AI stuff. Even then, what does that actually mean? LLM models to help PLA shuffle paperwork, or coordinate drone swarms? What level of compute enables what, and what happens when models shrink to work on less powerful hardware. Regulators made educated guess to legislate it as XYZ fixed levels of compute that's fraction of current compute, which doesn't scale, reasoning it will increase compute gap over time. Nvidia obeys law, because I surmise even they don't know what threshold of compute translates to what potential military capabilities - it would be crazy if were so integrated into US MIC that they do. Queue Raimondo fires warning shot at Nvidia for following law. The logic behind these moves is to make doing business with PRC expensive in the hopes uncertainty would compel AI sector to reduce business with PRC out of their own volition. Because when US gov doesn't actually know how to regulate compute controls, thereby can't effectively regulate with rule of law, they resort to rule by law (PRC playbook) to shape behaviour. A few flip flops might seem like regulatory incompetence, but enough sustained flip flops to create enviroment of uncertainty is strategy.