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> It's just strategically to slow down the military and other development of China, right? Probably this. Many in the foreign policy establishment expect a war
by hackerlight 3y ago
> It's just strategically to slow down the military and other development of China, right?
Probably this. Many in the foreign policy establishment expect a war with China within 10 years.
- snovv_crash 3y agoThey only need to postpone China's military tech development until their demographic issues catch up with them. At that point China won't have the luxury of being expansionist and will need to settle down to take care of its aging population.
- hackerlight 3y agoThat's right. In the super long-run steady state, what matters is population size (along with wealth and industrial production). If the US can maintain the status quo of the US having a slightly bigger economy, and just buy time for the US population to grow via immigration while the Chinese population declines, then eventually the world will be back to the geopolitical reality of the 2000s with a unipolar world with the US on top. China will still have revisionist and irredentist intent but won't be capable of carrying it out, and the US policy of containment will be successful.