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Where does the headline come from? I don’t see it in the article. I think you are confusing “chance of winning” (as I recall 538 was give Trump about a 1 in 3
by dave4420 3y ago
Where does the headline come from? I don’t see it in the article.
I think you are confusing “chance of winning” (as I recall 538 was give Trump about a 1 in 3 chance of winning in the days up to that election) with “share of the vote” (I don’t think anyone was saying Trump would only get about one third of the votes cast).
- fdeage 3y agoMy mistake, I got the meaning of "polling" wrong (not a native speaker). What would be the proper verb then? I know we're not suppose to editorialize, but the original title ("What’s Wrong With 538?") seemed less informative.
- dave4420 3y ago“Why 538 is wrong to give Trump a 31.5% chance”?