4 ms·
The Five Reasons Wars Happen (2022)
- 082349872349872 3y agoAs events of 2001-2003 show, even checked leaders can, and do, start wars. (the most dismal study I've seen has been https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lewis_Fry_Richardson#Mathematical_analysis_of_war https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lewis_Fry_Richardson#Mathemati... which suggests that the null hypothesis rules: Ares rolls the dice, and conflicts start effectively at random [independently at constant mean rate], with conflict size following a Poisson distribution)