I would be pretty surprised if Deepmind could automatically identify drugs that pass phase 3 trials in the next five years. First, there’s a banal point that m

I would be pretty surprised if Deepmind could automatically identify drugs that pass phase 3 trials in the next five years. First, there’s a banal point that many trials take years to read out, so any prospective study would have to be beginning about now. I don’t think Deepmind or anyone else can do what you describe currently. More importantly we just don’t understand human biology very well at all. Like there are phenomena that are critically important to drug and disease behavior that are just totally unknown. So machine learning systems trained on current knowledge just won’t have the necessary data. But I’ve been very surprised before by ML advances so who knows?