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> But regardless of policies around extraction and burning, Saudi Arabia will never literally run out of petroleum. It will just get progressively more expensiv
by RetroTechie 3y ago
> But regardless of policies around extraction and burning, Saudi Arabia will never literally run out of petroleum. It will just get progressively more expensive.
Not even that: higher prices work as incentive to develop alternatives. True for oil as energy source (renewables), fuel (synthetic fuels, H2 etc) and chemical feedstock (eg. bio-based polymers).
Alternatives will then develop to the point that oil simply isn't attractive any more. Or that a price at which it would be (to buyers), is below the cost of extraction. Perhaps leaving some niche applications, but demand will drop overall.
In short: it's a matter of time before production of (fossil) oil becomes unprofitable outside those niche applications. Heck, if environmental damage were included in the cost, it already is (ehm.. has been for a long time).
So there will be a "peak oil profits". Probably around the same time as peak oil - which may already have passed.