4 ms·

Those numbers seem much too high, for example the projection for a Model 3 is that you'd only need to drive it 13K mi / 22K km[1] 1: https://www.reuters.com/bu

• culi 3y ago
  My numbers come from a study published in Nature in 2022: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-022-00862-3 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-022-00862-3 The Argonne model relied on in the article you linked is quite dated at this point and has its limitations (which are acknowledged by the authors of it themselves).
  • blacksmith_tb 3y ago
    I see, so that 28K number looks solid, the 68K upper bound applies to a scenario where someone doesn't switch to an EV but buys one and still keeps driving an ICE vehicle too, which seems odd - I would think many drivers could use an EV for all their shorter trips (certainly shopping, likely commuting), but paying to register/license an extra car just for the occasional long trip doesn't seem very practical.
    • culi 3y ago
      That's a fair take. As stated in the study that scenario is based around actual documented EV usage behavior amongst owners PS, cheers for actually reading the paper