3 ms·
(I am not a scientist) the assumotion is Earth is an average lifebearing plant until proven otherwise. If you find evidence of something, you are more likely to
by kuchenbecker 3y ago
(I am not a scientist) the assumotion is Earth is an average lifebearing plant until proven otherwise. If you find evidence of something, you are more likely to find it in the middle if the normal distribution.
The problem though is choosing which population we are "average" in.
Unfortunately we have a single sample for life. Its actually entirely possible we are literally the only intelligent life (or even Earth being the only planet with life) if you define the population as "life capable of wondering if they're alone in the universe".
This is the anthropic principle [1] which is an observer bias implies the universe supports observers. Coupled with the fact a spacefaring civilization at 1% the speed of light could colonize the galaxy in about a million years (0.007% age of the universe) this is decently strong statistical evidence intelligent life is exceedingly rare (Fermi paradox).
But to answer more directly, Carl Sagan convinced Nasa to look for life on earth. [2] We assume we are typical therefore we try and replicate this with observations of other planets.
[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthropic_principle https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthropic_principle
[2] https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03230-z https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03230-z
- chomskyole 3y ago>This is the anthropic principle [1] which is an observer bias implies the universe supports observers. Coupled with the fact a spacefaring civilization at 1% the speed of light could colonize the galaxy in about a million years (0.007% age of the universe) this is decently strong statistical evidence intelligent life is exceedingly rare (Fermi paradox). Wouldn't logically follow only that it is exceedingly rare that anyone colonises a galaxy? I mean there are a lot of assumptions in that statement: It only makes intelligent life rare if you assume that intelligent life wants to colonise a galaxy and maintains the capacity to travel at 1% of the speed of light (which is still pretty fast) for 1 million years, while maintaining the desire to colonise a galaxy. Maybe after 10000 years they go "Ahhh, enough Manifest Destiny... I'll go back home...." :)