I'm no stranger to selection bias (http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1852186 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1852186 for example). I'm just surprised that

I'm no stranger to selection bias (http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1852186 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1852186 for example). I'm just surprised that anyone back then managed to make such predictions.