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> This growth is despite Android’s so-called fragmentation problems. Android’s share is growing because the carriers have flexibility in how they distribute it
by wdewind 15y ago
> This growth is despite Android’s so-called fragmentation problems. Android’s share is growing because the carriers have flexibility in how they distribute it and end users could not care less about ‘fragmentation’. That is a problem for developers, sure, but it is not affecting adoption by end-users.
a) developers who develop on Android rarely develop for all fragmented versions (or skew releases to not support old versions - the fragmentation does take resources and the effect shrinks your market) so grouping them together is kind of a misnomer - though I get it, and b) android apps still tend to make much less money than iOS apps. So there are lot more dimensions missing to that analysis, especially if this is targeted to developers.
> But what about the next 5-10 years? Won’t all these native features be incorporated into HTML6? Perhaps current features like camera access will be, but I bet that by that time there’ll be a ton of new device types and underlying features that aren’t.
Web technologies have always been playing catch up, and I'll take that bet.
> It’s not possible to create Instagram with HTML5
But it was possible to create facebook with it, which is worth 100x Instagram. This point is irrelevant in every way except the recent news.
I agree with your overall point, but you overreach on a lot of your arguments. Seems like you just wrote it to write it.
- amirnathoo 15y agoThe point with Android is that developers will follow what consumers adopt. They'll put up with Android fragmentation in the same way they put up with the App Store approval process - because they have to. Facebook have listed mobile as a risk in their S-1. When they started they didn't have the mobile risk. > I agree with your overall point, but you overreach on a lot of your arguments. Seems like you just wrote it to write it. I don't think I'm over-reaching. What are the arguments that you would present resulting in the same conclusion that aren't over-reaching?
- wdewind 15y agoIs that actually true? Are there more developers on Android than iOS right now? (Honestly don't know). Should it be true? It seems like general consensus that the android app store is much harder to make money in than iOS. Facebook did list mobile as a risk on their S1, but they listed THEIR mobile app as a risk. They are worried that if they put ads on it mobile use will drop significantly. If they listed other mobile stuff as well, I've forgotten and please point it out.
- amirnathoo 15y agoOk, I can respond to this, but what about your agreement with the conclusion, and the arguments that you would make to support it? No, I would bet that there are not more developers on Android than iOS right now, and more money is being made on iOS. Do you think the gap is widening or getting smaller? Given that Android as an app market didn't exist 2 years ago, I'm betting the latter.