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I know I'm not smart enough on statistics or psychology to evaluate the article but it always struck me that D&K seemed to say something similar to what my gran

I know I'm not smart enough on statistics or psychology to evaluate the article but it always struck me that D&K seemed to say something similar to what my grandpa said when I was a wee lad, "The more you know, the more you realize how much you don't know", I know he wasn't the first person to say that, but he was the first person to say it to me. I don't know if D&K is autocorrelation or not, but I know that an awful lot of people seem to think they know more than maybe they actually do, probably me included. Hmmm, maybe the author of that article as well? I wonder if that occurred to him, seems like a glaring oversight not to at least recognize that possible irony.

Arch485 3y ago
In the article, a real study was used as a counterexample to the DK effect. Part of the results was a correlation that people who were "less capable" were also worse at predicting their own skill, and people who were "more capable" were better at predicting their own skill. While similar to the DK effect, this is different, as the DK effect states that "less capable" individuals specifically _overestimate_ their skill, as opposed to simply being wrong (both over and under -estimating). With relation to some people "seeming to think they know more than they actually know", this is likely confirmation bias in the sense that there are an equal number of people who don't know much, and know that they don't know much.