3 ms·
It’s human psychology. Imagine you guess the birthday of everyone you meet. Your odds of being right are the same no matter whether you always say “January 1” o
by brookst 3y ago
It’s human psychology. Imagine you guess the birthday of everyone you meet. Your odds of being right are the same no matter whether you always say “January 1” or if you pick a date that feels right for the person (assuming there is no astrological or other magical sensing).
But getting Jan 1 right would feel like an inevitable event, like you’re testing statistics and, yep, they work. Getting a custom date right would feel like you made a smart choice. Even if you know it’s just the same statistics.
At least I expect most people would feel that, or at least as many as enjoy gambling in games of chance.
- idiotsecant 3y agoI have the strongest urge to be pedantic and point out that birthdates are not normally distributed. But I get your point.
- Lukas_Skywalker 3y agoThey are indeed not normally distributed, but did you mean that they are not uniformly distributed?
- idiotsecant 3y agoThat's what happens when you give into the pedantry gremlin. He comes for you too.
- qaisjp 3y agoUno reverse card right there.