28 ms·

Yes, the Anti-doomers will be right many times, and wrong at most once.

• wkat4242 3y ago
  The point is moot anyway. If someone can build it someone will. Laws and impending Doom or not. It's probably going to be better if it's us than Russia or China.
  • benatkin 3y ago
    That's a reductive argument, and won't work with me. What we have is tantamount to an arms race, and trying to suppress another country's development of tech that could be used against them is a thing. We have already restricted access to our microchips to China specifically and Russia through broad sanctions. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/17/business/economy/ai-chips-china-restrictions.html https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/17/business/economy/ai-chips... Russia isn't poised for the current crop of AI tech anyway.
    • zdragnar 3y ago
      Sanctions slow down advancement, but they don't stop it. Someone, somewhere is going to say "fuck it" and build it regardless. What they can do is ensure that the sanctioned entities are always at least a generation behind. That's not especially helpful in the context of "anti-doomers will be wrong exactly once" unfortunately.
    • dilyevsky 3y ago
      > We have already restricted access to our microchips to China specifically and Russia through broad sanctions. LOL and how is that working?
    • Moldoteck 3y ago
      Didn't china manage to produce 5nm chips recently? I mean yes, it's not 3nm but this just means a bit of slowdown, but they have both will& resources to go forward. Just look at their advancements in network wide blocking & face recognition, just like how their big players released pretty damn powerful llms
• astrange 3y ago
  > and wrong at most once. No reason to believe this, it hasn't been true for any other dangerous technologies like biological weapons or nuclear power.