4 ms·
> The problem is, the time between when you notice and when it's too late to act, might be days, or hours, or seconds, or even negative. I agree. Especially if
by trashtester 3y ago
> The problem is, the time between when you notice and when it's too late to act, might be days, or hours, or seconds, or even negative.
I agree. Especially if there is a hard take-off where AGI goes to 100x ASI in hours , days or weeks. Or the AGI could be really hard to detect, even if it took longer to develop. There is certainly a significant existential risk associated with AGI/ASI.
However, if we imagine a scenario where AGI was ONLY constrained by algorithms and code, and NOT at all from compute, then this kind of scenario would be much more likely. Lately, though, increases in AI strength have come more from increases in compute than improvements in algorithms.
If (which we may hope is the case), an AI explosion requires hardware improvements to take off (even if the AI can design the hardware itself), then we can HOPE that an explosion would be easier to detect.
> When that happens, the US government better be sending men with guns to forcefully shut the businesses involved down,
All the actions I described are ultimately backed by the government's guns.
> and getting ready to lob some cruise missiles at some data centers for good measure.
This could be an option if the data center was outside the US. Inside the US, the government can shut off the power, if needed.