We’re actually maybe a little behind schedule if you look at the “with funding” case from the AGI-09 conference survey: https://sethbaum.com/ac/2011_AI-Experts.

We’re actually maybe a little behind schedule if you look at the “with funding” case from the AGI-09 conference survey: https://sethbaum.com/ac/2011_AI-Experts.pdf https://sethbaum.com/ac/2011_AI-Experts.pdf Matches my recollection. The field is prone to hype cycles.