>but all signs seem to be pointing toward a longer timeframe rather than a short one. What signs are those? If anything, the "signs" point to timelines being m

>but all signs seem to be pointing toward a longer timeframe rather than a short one. What signs are those? If anything, the "signs" point to timelines being much shorter than anyone would have thought two years ago. I keep asking those who are confident AGI is a long way away to argue their case. For some reason they never do.