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Whether or not people want AGI, corporations definitely want it, as long as the cost of an AGI worker is less than the cost of a human worker. So perhaps we sho
by zarzavat 3y ago
Whether or not people want AGI, corporations definitely want it, as long as the cost of an AGI worker is less than the cost of a human worker. So perhaps we should prepend a C for “cheap” to the term AGI.
- RandomLensman 3y agoHow do you know what corporations exactly want? What c-suite has spec'd out what they want from a machine generally replacing humans? Would you really want faster horses instead of cars?
- fragmede 3y agoabstracted out to the c-suite level, cars are just faster horses. the ceo needs an item moved from location X to location Y, and it will cost Z dollars and take T time. doesn't matter if it's by car or boat or train or horse or donkey or a person on a bicycle. Or say, the logistics of, say, warehouse management. it costs V dollars for a team of people to do the job by hand, W dollars for a forklift, X dollars for a forklift operator; compare V to W + X. If there's a machine that can do the same for office jobs, the math will be done.
- RandomLensman 3y agoBased on my experience with large corporate transformations, I'd be amazed if it were done that way. Usually, (simple) math isn't really that important.
- fragmede 3y agonot doubting your experience, what is important then, that you've seen?
- RandomLensman 3y agoVery roughly: where the future business is coming from, what the future capabilities should be, how a new organisation should look like, what change can actually be accomplished, how to manage that change, required skills & infrastructure, how to get them. Then there is a whole legal ans compliance arc somewhere. Only when the change is small and local is it getting close to a math thing, but a large rollout of technology is a big thing already today.
- fragmede 3y agoThe canonical example isn't forklift workers, but car recalls. If the cost of the recall is X, and the cost of settling wrongful death lawsuits over the defective part is Y. If X > Y, don't do the recall. How true that is, idk, but the cynic in me believes it.
- bamboozled 3y agoI actually don't think corporations want it. In fact I think MS wants OpenAI to dumb ChatGPT down. AGI is a major existential threat to companies, I mean we could use AGI to completely replace Microsoft, you wouldn't need companies anymore. All the wealth and power is in jeopardy. Maybe companies are secretly gunning for "getting the first AGI", but I bet there is plenty of oversight and corporate governance going on too.
- mensetmanusman 3y agoyeah, it's gonna be funny when AI is able to rewrite all the software we make and use for free...
- GrooveSAN 3y ago> So perhaps we should prepend a C for “cheap” to the term AGI. Only 2 letters away from making this TRAGIC.