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Ugh. We have a working example of a physical system that implements intelligence (the brain) in contrast to no evidence of all-powerful dude in the sky. Why the
by red75prime 3y ago
Ugh. We have a working example of a physical system that implements intelligence (the brain) in contrast to no evidence of all-powerful dude in the sky. Why these analogies keep popping up?
How can you know that AGI is not around the corner? Compute available to the corporations is already in a ballpark of some estimates of the brain's computational capacity. What's left is unknown unknows. And the researches working with the state of the art models have better info to estimate them than you.
"The googler" you've mentioned wasn't a researcher.
- starbugs 3y agoJudging from the quality of GPT4 output that I get, AGI is not around the corner for a long time. This whole thing seems like extreme overhype squared carried out in a very unfortunate public soap opera setting.
- Davidzheng 3y agothere years ago, LLM wouldn't be able to generate more than a coherent paragraph
- starbugs 3y agoThe point being?
- Davidzheng 3y agoDifficult to judge how fast it'll improve based on current capabilities
- starbugs 3y agoOne more reason to not get caught up in the hype. If you claim to have AGI, show it, prove it. Otherwise, I will continue to assume that it's not around the corner. If you claim that GPT4 is close to AGI (as was done a lot), then you very likely have access to a GPT4 that I don't have access to. The actual usable thing available out there clearly isn't. Not that long ago some people predicted that software engineers would be out of a job within weeks. "Brilliant" CTOs claimed they would replace developers with ChatGPT. What happened? Nothing. I'll boldly predict that this time what will happen is exactly nothing again. I may be wrong, but at least I don't waste my time with the buzz about the next "big thing" which in reality isn't ready for anything useful yet.