In his recent Ted talk, Ilya talks about AI as 'brains in a computer', and explains why he believes they aren't that far off from AGI. [0] GPT4 is a substantial

In his recent Ted talk, Ilya talks about AI as 'brains in a computer', and explains why he believes they aren't that far off from AGI. [0] GPT4 is a substantially worse software engineer than I am, but it is 10x GPT3. And if we 10x for at most 2 or 3 iterations, it could be better than me. While it is unclear that we can get there, it doesn't seem implausible to me, and would have deep implications for human existence. That is already true if it just stayed at that level, but what most doomers are really worried about is the possibility of GPT8 being as good or a better AI researcher than most or all humans. [0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SEkGLj0bwAU https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SEkGLj0bwAU