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>Isn't the idea that ... Sure, in the sense that's the idea behind lots of things. But there is an awful lot of handwaving about how to concretely get there.
by ska 3y ago
>Isn't the idea that ...
Sure, in the sense that's the idea behind lots of things. But there is an awful lot of handwaving about how to concretely get there.
The overall goal of using self-driving technology to reduce human deaths and injuries is clearly admirable. What's less clear is a) if it is technologically achievable and b) if any of the current efforts are scaled appropriately to get there over a decade or two.
The early self-driving hype was pretty depressing to behold. It was obviously an Apollo sized or bigger effort, and people were actually getting traction with the laughable idea that we'd "get there" in 2-3 years with a few 10k of engineers (or less, I'm estimating conservatively).
- bdsa 3y agoHow many people were involved in engineering in the Apollo program?
- ska 3y ago400-500k total staff by some estimates, it's a little hard to know where to draw the lines, and a little hard to do apples-to-apples. Also about 5% total GDP applied which is crucial.
- FullyFunctional 3y agoExactly this. It is still unclear if this is even possible to do, which means betting the company (GM and Tesla) on it is irresponsible. Of the current efforts, the only that I have heard very positive things about is Waymo.