4 ms·
> And they will probably deliver within 6m what OAI has now, and what spooked Ilya to launch this coup. Do you realize how hard it is to make something like GP
by leetharris 3y ago
> And they will probably deliver within 6m what OAI has now, and what spooked Ilya to launch this coup.
Do you realize how hard it is to make something like GPT4? I think all the non-AI people posting about this all over X/HN have this idea that if you move everyone over you just "remake the AI" as if this were a traditional API.
There is no way MS catches up to OAI in a short period of time. During that time the rest of the market will be pressing the accelerator as hard as possible.
I think MS is in a really, really shit spot right now.
- mattnewton 3y agoThey have access to the weights as per their agreement with open ai; idk if that allows them to use it as a starting point. They also will have access to several of the people who did it. It’s insanely hard to do the first time, but probably just hard to do the second time after you already know what worked before.
- dylan604 3y agoI wonder if that agreement also has an insurrection clause saying that if you benefit from this, you must wipe your memories clean of any of that shared IP.
- 972811 3y agosure but what does "hard to do" entail in terms of timeline? in my experience nothing complex can launch in 3 months at a big corp. 6 months would be aggressive. a year seems the most likely. but where will competitors be in a year?
- ketzo 3y agoI mean, if MS literally gets: - all the code that created GPT-4 - all the weights for GPT-4 - all the people who created both of those things then, y'know, I like their odds. They have access to the first two already, per their licensing agreement with OAI; by the end of the week, they may very well have the third.