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The key words here are enhance and multiply (I don't agree with replace) - of those on your list, I'd say that Tesla and Eli Lilly stand to contribute the most
by lucasyvas 3y ago
The key words here are enhance and multiply (I don't agree with replace) - of those on your list, I'd say that Tesla and Eli Lilly stand to contribute the most tangible benefit to our lives if they continue to execute and improve. Saudi Aramco, while not working in a line of energy we want to pursue long term, also belongs in there for now.
Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Meta, Berkshire Hathaway, TSMC, and Visa do not produce anywhere near the same kind of core, intrinsic value. We have a fundamental disconnect between monetary value and actual value to society. I'm suggesting that our capital has been invested extremely poorly for at least the last two decades - chasing easy software wins instead of building hardware we need to solve real problems and putting humans to work to help construct it. These companies build products and services that enable business, commerce, hardware and software that enhance our experience in the world as we know it (including those core categories), but the world as we know it could change in an instant.
If everything were to go to shit, the most valuable are Food, Water, Shelter, Energy, or Transport (and as another poster pointed out, probably Art although it's kind of in a league of its own). They've always had the most intrinsic value. And while we need software to enhance a lot of these, the physical laborers are far less replaceable and therefore far more valuable. Technology is much farther away from replacing people in meatspace than cyberspace.
Apple is not stupid - they are probably best positioned to dominate computing over the next decade at least. They are computing company that specializes in enhancing experience, but there is a looming energy crisis and they know it. That's why their CPUs are focusing so heavily on performance per watt. We are going to need radically more efficient hardware that is cheaper to produce to meaningfully deploy computers to solve out problems in the future.
If datacenters can not become sourced entirely by renewables, the your pocket computer (and personal AI) is going to be more sustainable and therefore more valuable.