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Well, world is complex, there exists more than five ways you mentioned, and even more than you mentioned, combined with comments on this post. But overall, all
by simne 3y ago
Well, world is complex, there exists more than five ways you mentioned, and even more than you mentioned, combined with comments on this post.
But overall, all them need huge investments, to make huge enough technologies shifts.
And unfortunately, there are not just money investments, but they also need some scarce resources, even human resources are not abundant.
On other side, as we all could see here on HN, humanity is really close to AGI, which could solve issue with human resources, and even more, read more :)
I think, modern market civilization, could continue grow without continue grow use terrestrial resources, by invest in space industries - mining asteroids, produce at least enriched metal concentrates in space.
What slows progress of space industries, mostly, asteroids too far from Earth for just radio remote control, because of speed of light limitation. Solution is obvious - create space enterprise, controlled by AGI.
I see pair of space industry + AGI, as gamechanger, which could alone, without significant shifts in other technologies, solve Earth crisis.
And unfortunately, all these bright future things will not appear instant, even optimistic forecast, will spend decades to start this flywheel spin, and all this time will continue warming, but once, may be in 30-40 years from now, will achieve climate plateau, and than will see pivot and slowly cooling.
Theoretically, all industries you and comments mentioned, are big industries, so you could just build your own big enterprise, using some super-cool new technologies and change yourself things to better. But in practice, you anyway need somewhere got bright people to work with, and as I said, bright people are not abundant. So, looks like, we are now fortunate got good tickets, and we will build these new industries with AI tech.
- simne 3y agoAs example of resources scarcity, just now, even without significant shift to EV, appear very serious deficit of EV support engineers, and also, exist huge deficit of support of EV chargers, even somebody calculated and seen, need significant changes into power grid, existing could not feed enough power to EV chargers if they will grow to proposed numbers. Plus, seen not considered problems, firefighters complain they have not enough special tools for EV fires. With AI also seen not considered problems, AI servers with modern GPUs consume too much energy and exhaust too much heat for existing DCs, so need to create new power generating and make bigger DCs.