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While I agree at a high level, it's also important to understand that most of these demos are being carefully cherry-picked. If you are just seeing the viral de
by danenania 3y ago
While I agree at a high level, it's also important to understand that most of these demos are being carefully cherry-picked. If you are just seeing the viral demos on social media, you're going to think AI is further along than it actually is for more complex tasks. People who are non-technical and not using AI in anger to get real work done are going to be the most susceptible to this.
Those in the weeds are generally going to have a more nuanced view of the benefits and challenges--i.e. that it's incredibly useful but also very fallible and requires careful hand-holding to get production-ready results.
I say all that as an AI optimist. The value is real and the most impressive demos are glimpses of where we're heading. But it's going to take some time before the median result catches up to the hype.
- benatkin 3y agoI think the examples by naysayers of what AI can’t do are often cherry-picked. The way has been shown with the web. Now many people who would have been paying a designer are using things similar to Wix. A lot of people don’t need top of the line custom work, and most custom work isn’t top of the line. I’ve seen AI frequently, but a bit unpredictably, hit the high notes. https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2005/07/25/hitting-the-high-notes/ https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2005/07/25/hitting-the-high-n...
- danenania 3y agoYou know, that’s a great point! Both the negative and positive outliers can be cherry-picked to misrepresent what working with AI is really like in practice. Some want to pretend it’s much further along than it actually is, while some want to pretend it’s all just a flash-in-the-pan. The truth lies, predictably, in between: it’s useful and it’s real, but it’s not consistent or reliable… yet.
- KerrAvon 3y agois it a great point? the failure cases will recede as people figure out what to do with it, but right now the failures are extremely numerous.