3 ms·
The third thing is, what if there is no need to invade? Taiwan is a liability, on the grand scheme of things. We need to not have a concentration of such vital
by aa-jv 3y ago
The third thing is, what if there is no need to invade?
Taiwan is a liability, on the grand scheme of things. We need to not have a concentration of such vital capability in a single source.
The cost of an invasion or the cost of booting up fabs in more Western nations - or even in the global south? This is the real question.
War will only happen when the decision is made that its cheaper to steal a factory than build another new one. This is not always the focus of the conversation when it comes to the hegemonic power of China's ability to make things... but it should.
Especially when The Western Empire™ makes decisions about the values of other states ..
- actionfromafar 3y agoDo you really think the The Chinese Empire™ cares about TSMC? Generations have now been told Taiwan is and forevermore is a part of China, to be reunited. The existence of TSMC matters little. Once you connect a regime's domestic prestige to a project, external motivations matter little. Once not attacking Taiwan is seen as a "being weak" at home, you will have a war.
- mcny 3y agoI thought the prevailing meta for why Russia attacked Ukraine was that there is a window of opportunity that is rapidly shrinking and if they don't do it now, Russia will never be able to do it again. If China PR believes the same, we have big problems. My hope is that the Xi administration believes that going to war and losing will cause them to lose power to domestic mainland opportunists. It might be naive but then couldn't we say the same thing about mutually assured destruction (mad)?