Pragmatically speaking, it doesn't really matter if one is better than the other, at least until there is a massive jump in forecast quality (e.g. advancing the

Pragmatically speaking, it doesn't really matter if one is better than the other, at least until there is a massive jump in forecast quality (e.g. advancing the Day 5 accuracy up to Day 3). In the real world, we would never take raw model guidance from _any_ source - the best forecasts invariably come from consensus systems that look across many different models. So it's good to have a diverse lineage of forecasting systems, as uncorrelated errors boost the performance of these consensus systems.