If it only was a single data point, sure. But my example was too simple just to make a point. In the real world you'd be bombarded with hundreds of facts like

If it only was a single data point, sure. But my example was too simple just to make a point. In the real world you'd be bombarded with hundreds of facts like this, aimed at carefully crafting a certain narrative. Of course mixed with half-truths and lies. It's not easy to overcome this with critical thinking, and even experts in the field fall into this trap. Expecting someone with no knowledge to be able to is just not realistic.