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It's quite amazing how divisive the AI topic turned out to be in HN. My opinion is that AI proponents extrapolate too much and too optimistically; they always
by pdimitar 3y ago
It's quite amazing how divisive the AI topic turned out to be in HN.
My opinion is that AI proponents extrapolate too much and too optimistically; they always assume linear or simply uninterrupted improvement, and they assume they breadth of AI will increase as well. I see no proof for any of those so far.
Time will tell, obviously, and they may very well turn out to be correct. I just wonder why people get so worked up about it.
Personally I also don't understand why people want the programmer profession to cease to exist but oh well. I guess envy and schadenfreude are factors. I wouldn't know because I don't wish anyone unemployment.
- adastra22 3y agoAI proponent typically assume exponential growth. They'd consider linear to be pessimistic :)
- ultra_nick 3y agoCompound growth has been the most realistic historically.
- adastra22 3y agoAll exponentials in this context are actual S-curves. An S-curve matches an exponential historically, until it suddenly doesn’t.
- rchaud 3y agoAI proponents need to provide the equivalent of a JSfiddle or Codepen when saying "AI can fix this" on long-standing challenges. Something that shows a rough prototype of how AI would be used to solve the problem. That would greatly help improve the perception of such people who otherwise sound like the mindless AI boosters posting shallow engagement-bait on Twitter. Crypto-optimism has poisoned the well. Too much unchecked boosterism.
- pdimitar 3y agoI've been saying the variations of the same and I'm always mercilessly down voted. Guess they have taken over HN?